It is increasingly recognised that decision making in the face of multiple plausible futures poses unique challenges compared to other forms of uncertainty, and often requires a paradigm shift relative to existing practice emphasising trends or predictions. Robust and adaptive decision making strategies play an important role, including through the use of stress testing to evaluate how performance changes depending on assumptions. This session is intended to contribute to ongoing efforts to increase awareness and adoption of these types of techniques, building on efforts by the Society for Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty and the Queensland Water Modelling Network, amongst others. The session welcomes case studies as well as theoretical/methodological contributions demonstrating how multiple plausible futures can be better integrated into existing and evolving decision making processes.
Key topics: Water management, Scenarios, Uncertainty management, Decision making