×G1. Modelling for action: Advancing climate resilience and adaptation

Climate change has been shown to increase the frequency and intensity of hazardous events such as heatwaves, flooding, cyclones, drought and fire weather as well as compound events. Assessing risks, understanding exposure and vulnerability as well as planning for adaption requires information on multiple time scales including historical information, seasonal forecast and projected long-term changes.

Built on climate models coupled with impact or hazard models, for example flooding or fire weather models, such seamless services are aimed at producing reliable and probabilistic climate information for a broad range of public and economic sectors. Such services are crucial to identify and understand potential future risks and hazards and to inform societal decision-making processes, leading to effective, evidence-based adaptation planning for extreme events.

To support these services, this session invites contributions that demonstrate:

  1. Use cases and methodology of coupled climate and hazard models including confidence assessments and communication
  2. Disaster scenarios and impact analysis and assessment tools to help decision makers quantify risk and social vulnerability
  3. The application of hazard and disaster risk analysis to support adaptation
  4. Seamless service developments for multiple hazards and across multiple spatio-temporal scales.

Key topics: Climate resilience, Hazards, Risk analysis, Adaptation