L19. Hydrological forecasts and applications

Recent advances in hydrological modelling and forecasting have given rise to national-scale forecasting and warning services, linking together weather, climate and hydrological modelling, and delivering new statistical and dynamical forecasting techniques. New frontiers include continuous flood forecasting, probabilistic forecasting, uncertainty estimation, data assimilation and connection of forecasts to agricultural systems and reservoir operations.

This session aims to bring together a mix of scientists and practitioners to present work on recent advances in hydrological forecasting and real-world applications of forecasts. Presentations addressing any of the following are invited:

• Forecasting of rainfall and streamflow at all time horizons (hours, weeks, months, decades)
• Flood forecasting and warning
• Applications of forecasts to water resources management or agriculture
• Simulation and optimisation approaches
• Hydrometeorological or hydroclimate forecasting
• Development of hydrological models suitable for forecasting applications
• Statistical post-processing methods to improve forecasts
• Forecast verification methods

This session has been endorsed by HEPEX (www.hepex.org), which was launched in 2004 to foster scientific developments necessary to improve the skill of probabilistic hydrological predictions and their use in operational contexts.