MODSIM03

International Congress on Modelling and Simulation

Integrative Modelling of Biophysical, Social, and Economic
Systems for Resource Management Solutions

Modelling & Simulation Society of Australia & New ZealandJupiters Hotel and Casino,
Townsville, Australia
14-17 July 2003

Abstracts

Editor : David A. Post

CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra, Australia
David.Post@csiro.au

Editorial Board: Dave Allen, Vince Bidwell, Roger Braddock, Peter Brooker, Lou Caccetta, Felix Chan, Sean Connolly, Ralf Denzer, Jason Evans, Wolfgang-Albert Flugel, John Gallant, Romy Greiner, John Gross, Mal Heron, Suhejla Hoti, Mark Howden, Baiding Hu, Karu Karunasena, Markus Knoflacher, Paul Lawrence, Christine Lim, Holger Maier, Dora Marinova, Michael McAleer, Jeffrey McDonnell, Colin McKenzie, Toshio Nakanishi, Lachlan Newham, Meine van Noordwijk, Les Oxley, David Post, David Pullar, Jackie Robinson, Sergei Schreider, John Sequeira, Ashish Sharma, Karan Singh, Tad Soroczynski, Peter Verhoeven, Neil Viney, Lal Wadhwa, Clinton Watkins, David White, Andre Zerger.

All papers in this volume were refereed by two independent peer reviewers.

Citing Papers in Proceedings

Papers from these online proceedings should be cited using this format:

Gross, J., McAllister R., Abel, N., Stafford-Smith D.M. and Maru, Y. (2003) Australian rangelands as complex adaptive systems: a conceptual model and preliminary result. In Post, D. A. (ed) MODSIM 2003 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, July 2003. ISBN: 1 74052 098 X. http://www.mssanz.org.au/MODSIM03/Volume_03/B01/09_McAllister.pdf

All papers in this volume were refereed by two independent peer reviewers.

ISBN for the book of printed abstracts is ISBN 1 74052 098 X
ISSN 2981-8001 (Online proceedings)

Responsibility for the contents of these papers rests upon the authors and not on the Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc.

About the Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand

The Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc. (MSSANZ), formerly the Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia Inc. (MSSA), and the Simulation Society of Australia Inc. (SSA), is an affiliate of the International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (IMACS), The Society for Computer Simulation (SCS), and Japan Society for Simulation Technology (JSST). The aims of the Society are to promote, develop and assist in the study of alt areas of modelling and simulation. The Society has more than 500 members from 50 countries, including Australia, Canada, China, France, Germany, Japan, New Zealand, the Netherlands, South Africa, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States. Members are from a wide range of professional disciplines including hydrology, agricultural science, economics, finance, engineering, atmospheric science, ecology and many others. MSSANZ provides Medals and Awards biennially in three categories: Natural, Socioeconomic and General Systems. These are for Research Excellence, for Early Career Research Excellence and Fellowships. MSSANZ encourages students through regular student prizes and by subsidising their registrations at conferences.

Previous Congresses of the MSSANZ

1. May 1974 Australian Institute of Nuclear Science and Engineering, Lucas Heights, NSW
2. August 1976 Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria
3. September 1976 The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT
4. August 1980 The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland
5. May 1982 The University of New England, Armidale, NSW
6. August 1984 Adelaide University, Adelaide, SA
7. May 1987 Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology, Melbourne, Victoria
8. September 1989 The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT
9. December 1991 Greenmount Resort Hotel, Gold Coast, Queensland
10. December 1993 The University of Western Australia, Perth, WA
11. November 1995 The University of Newcastle, Newcastle, NSW
12. December 1997 University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania
13. December 1999 University of Waikato, New Zealand
14. December 2001 The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT

2003 Biennial Medallists

  • Dr Myriam Bormans, CSIRO Land and Water (Natural Systems)
  • Professor Peter Phillips, Yale University (Socioeconomic Systems)
  • Professor Hugh Possingham, University of Queensland (General Systems)

    • 2003 (Early Career) Research Excellence

  • Dr John Gallant, CSIRO Land and Water (Natural Systems)
  • Dr Hua Lu, CSIRO Land and Water (Natural Systems)
  • Dr Jackie Robinson, University of Queensland (Socioeconomic Systems)
  • Dr Shiqing Ling, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Socioeconomic Systems)
  • Dr Grace Mitchell, CSIRO Manufacturing and Infrastructure Technology (General Systems)
  • Dr Andre Zerger, CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems (General Systems)

    • 2002 Fellows

  • Professor Karan Singh, University of North Texas (Natural Systems)
  • Professor Dora Marinova, Murdoch University (Socioeconomic Systems)
  • Dr Peter Brooker, University of Adelaide (General Systems)

    • Acknowledgments

    The Management Committee of the MSSANZ would like to acknowledge gratefully the assistance of the following people in organising the MODSIM 2003 Congress:
    • David Post for convening the Congress
    • All Session Organisers
    • Editors and members of the editorial board
    • All reviewers
    • Andrea Rizzoli for the WCMT Web-based Conference Management Tool
    • Susan Kelo for processing registrations
    • Glenda Stanton for assisting with the program
    • Frances Marston for website development
    • Greg Rinder for designing the brochure and poster
    • Craig MacKenzie and the UWA UniPrint team for printing the Proceedings